I got some sleep, and woke up to an even more uncertain and chaotic electoral landscape than I was expecting to find. The New York Times headline right now is “Election Turns Into Nailbiter That May Extend For Days.”

It is very clear that the Republicans had an excellent night. They seem poised to gain some seats in the House, contrary to general expectations, but not enough seats to jeopardize the Democratic majority. It also seems increasingly likely that they will retain the Senate: overnight the Montana race was declared for Daines, and while the Georgia and Maine and North Carolina races remain uncalled they all are looking good for the Republicans.

And then there’s the Presidency. As of right now Biden has only razor-thin leads in both Wisconsin (where the Milwaukee early vote came in an hour ago) and Nevada. Michigan also looks like it will be closer than expected. Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Pennsylvania remain uncertain.

There is a need for patience to allow the various states to complete their normal counting processes, before we can really understand the lay of the land. However patience is difficult. At this point I don’t believe that any news organizations have gone out on a limb and called the election, although Trump made some comments in the middle of the night that have been interpreted as a declaration of victory.

The headline of this article from Politico’s Ryan Lizza sounds about right: “Biden Looks Screwed Even If He Wins.”