By now the polls have been closed in Georgia for an hour-and-a-half, so vote is coming in swiftly. Steve Kornacki on MSNBC has been focusing on looking at counties whose vote is reasonably complete, and comparing the Democratic Senate candidates’ margin against Biden’s margin in the general. Based on that metric, it feels to me like things are going well for both Democrats. But there is obviously still a long ways to go.

Interestingly to me, Warnock’s vote share relative to Ossoff’s has been pretty consistent over the past hour at +0.3%. That is rather less than I was expecting, but is consistent with the candidates’ relative performance in the final 538 polling averages. This suggests there is much less ticket-splitting (and/or Black voters not bothering to vote in the all-white race) than I might have expected.