About two hours ago Biden took over the lead in Pennsylvania. Right now his lead is about 7K votes and is expected to expand.

Georgia officials recently announced that a recount will occur in the fullness of time. Biden’s lead there is currently about 1.5K votes.

In Arizona, the conventional wisdom over the past 24-36 hours has been that Trump would need 59% of the incremental uncounted vote to catch up. Until now, he had been keeping pace with that target. However, minutes ago 62K new votes in Maricopa County just came in, and Trump only got 53% of that incremental vote. This is making it look more likely that Biden will hold on to his Arizona lead.

As such, it is looking more and more like Biden will win 306-232, having flipped 74 electoral votes from 2016: Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16), Georgia (16), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10), and Nebraska’s 2nd district (1). But, in addition to likely recounts in at least Georgia and Wisconsin, there will surely be litigation of various sorts.