Election 2020: Day 3, 7am

A couple of hours ago, Biden took the lead in Georgia for the first time; he currently leads by 1,096 votes.

Georgia would give Biden 269 electoral votes, so a tie is still possible, but Trump would need to hold on to his lead in Pennsylvania and reverse Biden’s leads in Arizona and Nevada. (And win Alaska, which remains uncalled since it has yet to start counting its mail-in vote, although it seems like a safe Trump state.)

The Pennsylvania mail-in vote continues to trickle in. Trump’s lead is now down to 18K, or 0.3%. There are believed to be 54K votes yet to be counted in heavily democratic Philadelphia, and those votes are expected to propel Biden into the lead.

Some additional votes from Clark County (Las Vegas) are expected to released later this morning. This will likely increase Biden’s current 11K lead in Nevada.

There are believed to be over 200K votes in Maricopa County (Phoenix) yet to be processed, some of which will be released later this morning. Biden is currently leading in Arizona by 47K. Biden’s lead has been eroding and may continue to erode. In the Arizona Senate race, Kelly has been outperforming Biden by about 1%, and that race has been called for the Democratic challenger to Senator McSally even though the Presidential race remains in doubt.

It would not surprise me if news organizations start calling the Presidential race for Biden before I go to bed tonight.

Trump gave a press conference yesterday evening, timed to coincide with the 3 networks’ evening news. I didn’t listen to it, but the headline “Trump lies in the White House briefing room, and the networks pull the plug” sounds like what I would have expected to happen.