Pennsylvania is behaving differently than it had four years ago, from a timing standpoint. Much of the early vote has actually been counted already, so with 33% of the vote in Harris has a 51.6 – 47.5 lead; but, per the NYTimes’ Nate Cohn, the race should tighten from here and Trump may yet come back. Contrast that with last year, where Trump was 8% ahead at noon the day after the election, but Biden eventually won as the early vote was very late to count.

NBC just moved GA, MI, PA, and WI from “too early to call” to “too close to call”, while NC remains “too early to call”. The Senate races in MI, PA, and WI are also now “too close to call.”

The NYTimes live model thinks Trump is now a 69% favorite to win.