At 12:30am my time, El-Sayed came out to give a victory speech, even though the race remained uncalled at that point; I stayed up to watch, then went to bed. Sometime while I slept, the race was called for him, making the Senate score 54-44 with just Mississippi and Alaska left. Alaska is going to take a while longer to even count the first-preference votes, and then there’s ranked choice reallocations to worry about; it may be two weeks before we have clarity there.

Very little Mississippi vote has been reported in the last several hours; Colom’s margin currently stands at 43 votes, compared with 28 in my last post. The election may well depend on provisional ballots. There is, apparently, no mechanism whatsoever under Mississippi law for a recount in a Senate race.

Per NBC News, the current score in the House is 231-144, and their projected score is now up to 258-179. Among the uncalled races is the Minnesota 1st, where overnight the Democrat Johnson declared victory; right now he is ahead of Finstad by 321 votes. Another very close uncalled race is the Maine 2nd, the red-leaning seat currently held by moderate Democrat Jared Golden, who did not run again. Right now the Democrat, Matthew Dunlap, leads by 707 votes over controversial former Republican governor Paul LePage. Out in the Colorado 4th, controversial Republican Representative Lauren Boebert is trailing by 1.5% in an uncalled race.

The overall national picture looks to be something like 56-43 for the Democrats. North Carolina continues to surprise. NBC News has already called 9 of the 14 races there for the Democrats — only 4 of which were previously held by Democrats, and 1 of which was supposed to vanish due to gerrymandering — with 3 races still uncalled.

State-level results have been quite strong for the Democrats, as I’m sure I’ll discuss at greater length in the coming days. Recall that in the 2024 cycle there were 7 major battleground states, all of which went to Trump in the end. In 2028 all 7 of those states will have Democratic Governors, thanks to pickups in not only Ohio (Acton) and Georgia (Bottoms) as discussed last night but also Nevada (Ford), as well as successful re-elections in Arizona (Hobbs) and Pennsylvania (Shapiro), and successful holds of open seats in Michigan (Benson) and Wisconsin (Crowley).