Election 2026: Day 1, 1:30pm

Speaker Johnson indicated this morning that he will not seek to be part of Republican leadership in the next Congress. The two leading candidates for Minority Leader are expected to be Steve Scalise and Jim Jordan.

Trump has been fairly restrained over the last 24 hours. Many pundits have observed that the size and scope of the Democratic wave was so great that it quickly become apparent to the Republicans that whatever measures they might have been considering to undermine the results of this year’s election would be futile and ultimately counterproductive.

Vote counting has resumed in the Mississippi Senate race, with Colom’s lead having expanded infinitesimally since I last wrote, to 65 votes. The Colom camp seems confident that they will win in the fullness of time. NBC News has the current House count at 242-146, with the expected final count still at 258-177.

I had mentioned shortly before the election that the final batch of NYTimes/Siena Senate polls released on Sunday looked amazing for the Democrats. In hindsight, those polls have proven to be remarkably accurate.

In Kansas, the poll was Marshall by 5, while the current result is Marshall by 4.9.

In Ohio, the poll was Brown by 5, while the current result is Brown by 4.8.

In Maine, the poll was Jackson by 6, while the current result is Jackson by 7.2.

In Iowa, the poll was Turek by 1, while the current result is Turek by 4.1.

In Texas, the poll was Talarico by 7, while the current result is Talarico by 12.1.

In Michigan, the poll was El-Sayed by 11, while the current result is El-Sayed by 7.0.

The two biggest outliers there are Michigan, where the poll would have been conducted before Stevens’ last-minute recantation of her support for El-Sayed, and Texas, where it may have been difficult for pollsters to foresee the extent of Latino turnout.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *