Election 2026: Day 0, 8:25pm

A Florida district that had been gerrymandered to produce a Republican pickup, the 22nd, has been called for Democrat Pia Dandiya. Silver’s model had this at 72% for the Democrats.

Andrews is up 52-46 in South Carolina with three-quarters of the vote in; the NYTimes model thinks Andrews is about 95% to win.

Talarico is up 60-39 in Texas with half the vote in. NYTimes model thinks Talarico is about 90% to win. Hinojosa is running about 4 points behind Talarico in her gubernatorial race against Abbott, so that’s going to be a lot tighter but it is still on the table for a Democratic win.

Brown is up 50-45 in Ohio with a little more than half of the vote in; the NYTimes now has him at about 75% to win. Acton is running ahead of Brown in her gubernatorial race against Ramaswamy, which also has a Libertarian candidate attracting 3% of the vote.

Only 15% of the vote is in yet in Michigan; El-Sayed is ahead and the NYTimes makes him at about 80% to win.

Finally, Hamilton is up 60-39 in Kansas with a little less than half the vote in, and the NYTimes model has him at about 65% to win.

Not much news from Maine yet.

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