And we are here at last. The TV coverage has been on for an hour, but the only polls that closed an hour ago were in certain parts of Indiana and Kentucky. Things will start to get more interesting going forward.

One House race of note so far is the Indiana 5th, where the incumbent is controversial Republican Victoria Spartz. Silver’s model had Spartz at 81% to win re-election. With 36% of the vote in, Spartz is behind, 38-62. However the vote that has reported so far is largely from the suburban portion of this district rather than its rural portion, and includes a lot of early vote. Will be interesting to watch this one evolve.